Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 72511.512215 76658.256104 80809.364806 85273.567656 89935.611552 94657.513743 99798.468468
2025-03-16 64989.704100 71277.249157 77754.951734 84917.644424 92606.070160 100601.199512 109534.031562
2025-03-23 60765.527992 68588.620141 76830.529918 86140.933839 96345.564849 107169.644402 119498.254174
2025-03-30 57289.767481 66250.585834 75869.643956 86930.333254 99263.400867 112558.248366 127938.706851
2025-04-06 54039.197496 63850.077623 74557.500695 87062.867024 101216.849460 116689.165156 134829.499034
2025-04-13 51159.208684 61643.106491 73258.263747 87015.420816 102795.944598 120261.804778 140982.769682
2025-04-20 49441.175687 60625.893963 73184.503504 88245.005888 105725.187074 125283.568937 148726.879770
2025-04-27 47909.467954 59715.181496 73137.007690 89418.484348 108521.394903 130108.802004 156227.459538
2025-05-04 46210.175209 58507.373209 72655.382574 90006.258635 110573.544531 134034.384460 162670.094748
2025-05-11 44357.298253 57023.607503 71765.294363 90035.570493 111906.551377 137078.475896 168060.335718
2025-05-18 42772.003536 55788.202655 71103.672573 90274.576963 113436.482240 140317.944807 173662.355133
2025-05-25 41216.223417 54520.660546 70341.898212 90336.381109 114708.179734 143220.670349 178851.215123
2025-06-01 40311.148471 54037.755888 70524.848169 91548.970285 117388.910932 147844.754735 186166.454991
2025-06-08 38742.370324 52666.378877 69566.571532 91320.623436 118288.806937 150320.291637 190911.667484
2025-06-15 38029.135637 52345.739267 69884.990601 92650.017376 121086.565443 155091.611463 198452.766772
2025-06-22 37136.470763 51757.057329 69835.428854 93494.226048 123269.575038 159113.667799 205099.600362
2025-06-29 35976.182418 50778.669686 69254.830359 93636.267793 124553.555584 162022.080425 210386.452247
2025-07-06 34796.146105 49732.727560 68550.212114 93586.246571 125569.392372 164583.751870 215243.955335
2025-07-13 34273.713637 49533.175523 68915.878134 94890.534291 128288.911057 169263.207161 222745.255278
2025-07-20 33755.652976 49317.758570 69243.983679 96135.070657 130930.308777 173855.086612 230164.375046
2025-07-27 33005.657619 48763.532672 69106.878061 96758.364578 132767.718844 177440.430407 236340.741918
2025-08-03 32050.527287 47899.992994 68534.995746 96789.447090 133825.584442 180035.361226 241276.789131
2025-08-10 31228.743420 47193.268539 68147.872731 97042.882038 135156.768814 182971.408781 246651.345867